Connections
Innovation and Technology in the Russo-Ukrainian War
Technology and innovation have significantly influenced the Russo-Ukrainian war, impacting not only the armed conflict but also the reconstruction of reclaimed territories and the restoration of services. Few believed in Ukraine’s survival when the Russian invasion began in February 2022. This article examines how Ukraine, through its ability to embrace technological advancements and apply innovative solutions, gained a comparatively advantageous position against Russian aggression. We focus on the fundamental differences in the early stages of the war, particularly highlighting Ukraine’s adept integration of emerging dual-use and advanced Western products and technologies.
The Black Sea Power Struggle: Geopolitical Tensions in the 21st Century
The Black Sea, historically a crossroads of empires and modern nations, has become a critical focal point in 21st-century geopolitics. This article examines its multifaceted importance, from strategic maritime linkages and energy reserves to its evolving role as a theater for great power competition. By analyzing the interests and actions of key players such as Russia, Türkiye, and NATO, we highlight the region's dual significance as both a hub of cooperation and a potential flashpoint for conflict. Drawing on historical context, current geopolitical developments, and strategic analyses, the article underscores the Black Sea’s broader implications for global peace, trade, and stability in an era of renewed global power dynamics.
Prospects for EAEU Members' Cooperation with Crimea Following Its Disputed Accession to the Russian Federation
This study examines the status of the Crimean Peninsula within the frameworks of international law and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) legal framework. The urgency of this issue is heightened by the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, which deepens the uncertainty surrounding Crimea’s status. Currently, Crimea remains a disputed territory, posing significant legal and political challenges. The central question of this study is whether Crimea, given its undefined status, can fully exercise the rights and privileges associated with EAEU membership. The study explores potential implications and possibilities for Crimea's integration into the EAEU. Through a detailed analysis of legal intricacies and international legal instruments, the article highlights specific features of the EAEU's legal landscape. Despite its annexed status, Crimea operates within the framework of both the Russian Federation and the EAEU. Member states maintain a delicate balance by engaging with Crimea under de facto recognition while avoiding international sanctions. This dual approach reflects the complexities of the situation. The practical value of this research lies in its potential to inform broader policy development regarding Crimea’s legal status amidst the ongoing conflict. By considering the impact of the current war, the study offers a timely and relevant analysis of the evolving geopolitical landscape and its effects on Crimea's legal standing.
Murky Tides: Improving NATO's Defensive Posture in the Black Sea Basin
Since Russia annexed Crimea and its war of aggression against Ukraine, the security environment of the Black Sea has undergone significant changes. The increased Russian military presence in the Black Sea basin has posed a challenge to NATO's strategic interests, including energy security and the preservation of free navigation. This policy-focused article examines ways to enhance trilateral cooperation in the Black Sea region among the three NATO littoral states--Romania, Türkiye, and Bulgari--to counter Russian influence. This influence has been a relatively overlooked aspect of NATO's strategic concerns, which has yet to produce a comprehensive strategy for the region. Greater trilateral cooperation among NATO members with coastal access to the Black Sea is envisioned as a step towards the development of a NATO Black Sea strategy and the potential creation of a joint fleet. The three countries have already launched successful initiatives, such as the establishment of MCM Black Sea in January 2024, which serves as a platform for collaborative maritime demining in response to the Russian-Ukrainian war. This article aims to untangle the complexities of expanding NATO's presence in the Black Sea basin and offers recommendations for both domestic and international policies to advance NATO’s strategic objectives.
A Divided Arctic: Is an Ice Curtain Emerging?
The era of Arctic exceptionalism has ended, bringing uncertainty to a region with tremendous strategic and economic potential. With Finland and Sweden joining the North Atlantic Treaty Alliance, the Arctic faces an unprecedented division: around half of the Arctic aligns under the NATO flag, while the other half remains Russian. Climate change is a critical factor driving regional activity, and the warming trends are affecting the region’s economic development, infrastructure, and military activity. With Western sanctions blocking technological and economic cooperation with Russia, China is well-positioned to fill the gap. The “no limits” friendship between Russia and China facilitates increased Chinese investment and presence in a region historically wary of non-Arctic states. This article will examine how climate factors enable both the strengthened ties among like-minded Western Arctic nations and the growing relationship between Russia and China to assess whether a new “ice curtain” is emerging as strategic competition intensifies in the Arctic.
Goodbye Globalization? Hello 'Fragmentegration'! - The World Economy and Strategic Competition
Tensions in great power competition, geopolitical shifts, and external shocks—such as the 2008-2009 global financial crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and Russia’s war against Ukraine since February 2014—have put the global economy under stress. International trade, foreign direct investment, and global value chains have been redirected, diversified, and de-risked. Rather than leading to de-globalization, this has resulted in a "fragmentegrated" global economy that is both tripolar, regionally and globally fragmented, and integrated at the same time. The world economy remains deeply interconnected rather than fully decoupled.
This "fragmentegrated" global economy is exposed to great power competition and the increasing weaponization of economic interdependence, affecting all sectors of the multilateral system. Conflict and confrontation dominate under these conditions of “chained globalization.” However, strategic interdependence and the development of counter-coercive instruments can provide mitigation tools for actors facing pressure from great powers.
Hybrid Threats and Strategic Competition
Strategic competition is not new, nor is the use of activities short of warfare by governments to shape the international system in their favor. However, the ability of state and non-state actors to directly influence populations through a range of rapid and non-attributable actions is different from previous iterations of strategic competition. These activities, referred to in this article as hybrid threats, directly challenge state sovereignty and represent the key distinguishing feature of contemporary strategic competition. To clarify this argument, the article aims to provide working definitions of strategic competition and its distinction from great power competition; to explain what hybrid threats and hybrid warfare are and their roles in the broader strategic objectives of state and non-state actors; to describe how strategic competitors and adversaries perceive these activities; and to emphasize the importance of building resilience within populations to counter hybrid threats.
The Growing Western Interest in the Black Sea
This article examines the impact of the Russian Federation’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 on the strategies of the United States, United Kingdom, France, NATO, and the European Union regarding the Black Sea region. The author highlights how the invasion has emphasized the strategic importance of the Black Sea for the international order. In addition to analyzing official state actions, the author explores the academic and intellectual discourse in the United States, United Kingdom, and France to assess the region’s strategic significance.
Armed Violence as a Challenge to National Security: Critical Thinking Perspectives
The purpose of this study is to identify the role and skills of critical thinking in the context of hybrid warfare, as well as to explore ways to develop it. The following methods were used in the study: system and complex analysis, structural and functional analysis, historical analysis, analysis and synthesis, critical analysis, conceptual modeling, and generalization of existing knowledge. The findings revealed that conventional approaches to ensuring national security, such as increasing military power, are insufficient in the context of hybrid warfare. It is argued that in order to strengthen Ukraine’s national security, it is crucial to adopt new approaches, particularly those focused on developing the intellectual potential of society. The study proves that the purposeful development of citizens’ critical thinking can play a key role in increasing Ukraine's resilience to the information and psychological threats posed by hybrid warfare. Critical thinking enables individuals to better identify and resist fakes, propaganda, and manipulation. The practical significance of this study lies in substantiating the strategic importance of critical thinking for Ukraine's national security.
Quality Assurance in Military Higher Education Institutions: Worldwide Patterns and Trends
This article explores the multifaceted landscape of quality assurance practices employed by military higher education institutions worldwide to identify common features and demonstrate diversity. The findings reveal that internal quality assurance in military higher education institutions typically aligns with national academic requirements, influenced by the political system and participation in regional political associations. Most countries follow a three-level model of quality assurance, encompassing internal procedures, external evaluation by independent or government-controlled agencies, and the quality assurance of accreditation bodies. Despite initial resistance due to corporate culture, the institutionalization of internal quality assurance systems in military higher education institutions is advancing, driven by external pressures. Challenges in external evaluations of military entities based on civilian university criteria arise from differences in human resource policies, management systems, and the organization of educational processes. The application of academic quality assurance standards (national or regional) by military higher education institutions promotes their integration into national (or sub-regional) higher education frameworks but does little to advance defense institution-building. To address these challenges, the study suggests developing specialized quality standards for military education institutions, considering their unique management characteristics and contributions to national security and defense. Such standards, whether national or international, should complement existing frameworks and facilitate the integration of military education into broader security initiatives.
Propaganda in Armed Conflict: Exploring Legal Ambiguities and Civilian Engagement
This article addresses the question of whether civilians engaged in disseminating propaganda can be construed as direct participants in hostilities. It focuses on the gaps created by a lack of international law provisions governing the use of propaganda during armed conflicts. The research contends that the categorization and classification of propaganda are vital, given the increasing employment of harmful digital information. An example of Ukrainian strategic communication campaigns illustrates the slippery slope created by easily accessible social media platforms and the danger posed by civilians spreading these so-called “strategic communication campaigns.” The research explores how the principle of distinction and the notion of direct participation apply to Ukrainian civilians. This article finds that multiple gray areas exist when analyzing the applicable legal frameworks surrounding the dissemination of propaganda. The study concludes that civilians spreading propaganda do not qualify as directly participating in hostilities, as the three-prong test of the International Committee of the Red Cross is not met.
The Intelligence College in Europe: An Effort to Create a European Intelligence Community
The actors within the so-called “intelligence community” play a central role in fulfilling Europe’s security commitments by providing political and military decision-makers with critical analyses and information. The Intelligence College in Europe (ICE) is the first entity to offer both professional intelligence training and postgraduate-level academic education in intelligence and security studies for intelligence officers on a pan-European scale. In developing its postgraduate offerings, ICE has drawn upon the experience of Germany’s Master of Intelligence and Security Studies (MISS), a collaborative effort between the University of the Bundeswehr Munich and the Department of Intelligence at the Federal University of Administrative Sciences in Berlin. As a main contribution of this article, the counterterrorism module (adapted from the MISS) is examined in detail as a case study of how postgraduate modules can be tailored to meet the needs of a pan-European audience of intelligence professionals.
Lifelong Education of Civil-Military Teachers in Higher Education in Croatia
Numerous international and national documents highlight that higher education institutions should provide qualified educators and promote the professional development of teachers with a particular focus on student-centered learning and teaching. In the higher education system of the Republic of Croatia, most teachers do not receive specialized training in teaching competencies. While they possess the necessary professional expertise in their respective subject areas, they often lack the pedagogical and andragogical training required for effective higher education. Hence, the authors of this work aim to demonstrate the necessity of continuous education for civilian-military teachers in a certified program for lifelong development of teaching competencies. The continuous education will be delivered through specially designed courses and will be a prerequisite for assuming teaching responsibilities and advancing into scientific-teaching positions.
Kremlinism: Russia's Malign Civilizational Force
This article considers Russian aggression against Ukraine within the context of a global clash between malign anti-civilizational forces and civilization. It posits that today’s world situation should be understood as one positioned on a civilizational fault line. The conflict between these two dynamics is a key feature of the 21st century. The contemporary global terror stemming from the genocide of the Ukrainian people is linked to the growing phenomenon of the “new enemies of totalitarian Russia.” This situation puts individuals and states worldwide at risk. Moscow’s ambitions are not limited locally, regionally, or geographically; they are already impacting the peaceful future of the planet and its existence.
The terms Kremlinism, Ruscism, and Putinism are introduced as manifestations of the Kremlin’s traditional fascism, which is central to Moscow’s anti-civilizational force. The authors analyze Russia’s internal and international use of rhetoric and lawfare. While the Kremlin may be effective in frightening or fooling leaders of democracies, its own citizens are the primary targets of its terrorist efforts. The objective is to demonstrate that a global response is required from civilized citizens and states. This response must outline a favorable vision of a future world where civilization thrives and confidently overcomes the forces of autocracy, authoritarianism, and corruption.
Modernizing Personnel Management in the Armed Forces of Ukraine During Military Conflict: Training New Officers
Considering the ongoing military conflict with the Russian Federation, the modernization of the personnel management system of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is of utmost significance. Effective training of new officers is becoming a strategic task to strengthen the country’s defense capability and ensure national security. This research aims to thoroughly analyze and justify ways to modernize the personnel management system of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the context of the current military conflict, focusing on improving the education and training of the new generation of officers. It is based on a statistical analysis of data obtained through expert analysis and a survey of highly qualified professionals. The study demonstrated that the existing personnel management system of the Armed Forces of Ukraine requires significant modifications to respond to the current challenges of military operations. In particular, there is a need to introduce advanced teaching methods and use modern technologies in training officers. Additionally, improving the organizational structures that provide officer training is essential. This includes revising programs, adapting to modern conflicts, and implementing international training standards. Psychological and social aspects of the officer corps' design and development should be considered to ensure long-term stability and productivity. Special emphasis is placed on introducing international experience and cooperation with partner countries, exchange of experiences, joint exercises, and training programs.
The Change in Fertilizer Prices Due to the Russo-Ukraine War
This article examines the significant changes in fertilizer prices due to the Russo-Ukrainian war and its broader economic implications. Historically, crisis cycles have periodically reshaped economic conditions, disrupting standard processes such as currency exchange rates and trade balances. The Russo-Ukrainian conflict escalated pre-existing tensions from the 2014 Crimea annexation and further complicated supply chain issues exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. This article explores the correlation between natural gas prices and key agricultural inputs, highlighting how energy prices influence fertilizer costs and food prices. The analysis covers the impact of the conflict on global fertilizer markets, specifically focusing on nitrogen-based fertilizers, the strategic shifts in European supply chains, and food security in Africa. Additionally, the article discusses geopolitical maneuvers such as the Black Sea Grain Initiative and their effects on food security and agricultural productivity. The findings underline the intertwined nature of energy, agriculture, and geopolitical stability, emphasizing the need for adaptive strategies in response to such crises.
Incubating Terror: The Implications of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine for Global Terrorism
The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 accelerated the geopolitical shift towards Great Power competition while further contributing to the waning attention given to transnational terrorism. This study posits that the risks of transnational, regional, and local terrorism, both directly and indirectly stemming from the war in Ukraine, are increasing. To support this assertion, it analyzes recent events and commentary to establish a framework for examining the war’s impact on the trajectories of transnational terrorism. Furthermore, it provides evidence of newly emerging terrorist threat vectors that challenge conventional counterterrorism strategies.
The Impact of the Russian-Ukrainian Hybrid War on the European Union’s Cybersecurity Policies and Regulations
While Russia transitioned from hybrid to conventional warfare in Ukraine, NATO recognized cyberspace as another domain where allied response can be invoked. The European Union also decided to enhance the cybersecurity capabilities of the organization and its member states, making social resilience a priority area. It is recognized that the security of cyberspace and related systems is not just an economic issue but one that affects the whole society, necessitating a more complex strategy and regulation. The EU has taken steps to mitigate the cyber risks associated with hybrid warfare, enhancing network and cognitive security. However, offensive cyber operations could increasingly lead to open armed conflict. During existing conflicts, some cyber operations may undermine public confidence and further escalate the situation. The EU and its Member States must pay closer attention to escalation dynamics in their legislation and practices. It is crucial to scrutinize cyber policies, set specific targets and deadlines, and regularly update them. This will require stakeholders to find the appropriate regulatory levels and align national regulations, practices, and standards.
State and Personal Responsibility: War Crimes, Crimes of Aggression and Genocide in Ukraine
This article examines international crimes committed on the territory of Ukraine since February 24, 2022. Ukraine faces explicit acts of aggression, with a multitude of war crimes—including murder, sexual violence, and deliberate attacks on civilian property and infrastructure—being perpetrated within its borders. Additionally, there are indications of genocidal intent. Urgent attention is required to investigate the violations of international humanitarian law. Further, the article identifies the main causes of war crimes committed by the military: military errors or failures, the use of civilians as “human shields,” insufficient discipline, inadequate inculcation of legal norms related to international humanitarian law and Just War Theory within military ranks, and the use of targeted terror aimed at crushing the enemy’s will to resist. The author examines the interrelation of war crimes and information warfare in light of the importance of discerning truth amidst a sea of disinformation and cover-up. Finally, he explores national and international mechanisms for bringing perpetrators of crimes to justice, as well as seeking compensation for the damage they caused.
Women, Peace, and Security Dimensions of the War in Ukraine
The ongoing war in Ukraine has evident devastating consequences. It is an urgent reminder of the relevance of UN Security Council Resolution 1325 on women, peace, and security, which calls for the meaningful inclusion of women in all areas of peacebuilding and conflict prevention. This paper highlights the involvement of Ukrainian women in the war, emphasizing their roles across politics, defense, and humanitarian response. The authors examine some critical issues to stimulate and support women’s active position in peace-building and conflict resolution in the Ukrainian context.